Tuesday, April 04, 2006

 

FCST: 4/1/06

Today's setup is more typical of May; high CAPE, slow-moving storms, focused on the dryline, etc. Great April fool's joke, eh? Higher moisture is currently located in the Red River valley region with dewpoints as high as 70 being observed currently in the DFW area. With the exception of low stratus, insolation has begun in earnest across all of Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle. Thus, my greatest concern has been alleviated. All models suggest CAPE should be well over 3000 j/kg by 00z, which seems reasonable based on the latest surface observations. Because the target area is so broad (SW OK to NW OK), I'm thinking that we should target the I-40 corridor and adjust our position based on this afternoon's observations. I'll try to update a bit later.

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